Political Implications of the latest incident at Natanz
April 16, 2021 | AIJAC staff
On April 11, there was an incident which caused a blackout at Iran’s Natanz uranium enrichment plant. Initially said to be possibly a cyberattack, and later reported as possibly a bomb blast, the incident has been widely attributed to Israel, and is also alleged to have done major damage to the thousands of centrifuges Iran uses to enrich uranium there. This Update deals with what is known about the incident and more importantly, how it may affect current events in the Middle East
An Iran-China Alliance?
April 9, 2021 | AIJAC staff
On March 27, Iran and China signed a cooperation agreement scheduled to last 25 years which provides for large-scale Chinese investments in Iran in exchange for oil over that time. This Update contains some analysis of the implications of that deal – as well as a piece on the background to recent Israeli-Iranian maritime clashes
Another indecisive Israeli election outcome
March 26, 2021 | AIJAC staff
Israel voted yet again on Tuesday for the fourth time in two years – and as the diagram above illustrates, the final results do not look much more likely to break the long-standing political impasse than the outcomes after the last three trips to the ballot box. This Update looks at the election results, their implications, and what might happen next.
Israeli election campaign reaches homestretch
March 19, 2021 | AIJAC staff
Israelis are set to vote – for the fourth time in two years – on next Tuesday, March 23. This Update is devoted to analysis of the latest developments in the campaign, and the key factors likely to ultimately decide the outcome.
The Saudis, the Houthis and the Biden Administration
March 12, 2021 | AIJAC staff
This Update is focussed on the aftermath of last weekend’s largely unsuccessful missile and drone attack on major Saudi facilities by Yemen’s Iranian-backed Houthi rebels, and how this event fits into the US Biden Administration’s policies toward the Saudis, Yemen and Iran.
Inspections crisis with Iran
March 4, 2021 | AIJAC staff
On. Feb. 22, an agreement was announced between the Iranian regime and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to somewhat limit IAEA inspections in Iran, though not to the degree Iran had originally been threatening to limit them. The deal is set to last for three months.
The upcoming Israeli and Palestinian elections
February 19, 2021 | AIJAC staff
This Update offers analysis of the Israeli election campaign, with Israel now just five weeks out from a poll on March 23 – the fourth election in just two years. It also offers some new commentary on Palestinian plans to hold parliamentary elections on May 22, 2021, followed by elections for the presidency on July 31, 2021.
The ICC and the “State of Palestine”
February 12, 2021 | AIJAC staff
This Update focuses on the meaning, background and implications of the controversial 2 to 1 decision of the pre-trial chamber of the International Criminal Court (ICC) released last Friday Feb. 5. that, for purposes of jurisdiction, a “State of Palestine” exists that gives the court jurisdiction over the West Bank, east Jerusalem and Gaza.
Biden Administration preparations for talks with Iran
February 5, 2021 | AIJAC staff
The new Biden Administration is gearing up for future talks with Iran based on its “return to the 2015 JCPOA nuclear deal then improve it” policy – with Administration spokespeople stressing the next step is intense consultation with allies and the Administration controversially naming former JCPOA negotiator Robert Malley to head up its Iran policy, albeit with a promise he will have a team with diverse views. This Update offers some advice from various sources about how the Administration should approach any such negotiations.
Palestinian elections announced
January 29, 2021 | AIJAC staff
On Jan. 15, Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas published a formal decree calling for Palestinian legislative elections on May 22, followed by a presidential vote on July 31. This Update discusses the background and complexity of such a vote – as well as the scepticism being expressed by many about whether the elections will actually go ahead.