Lieberman to be Defence Minister in Israeli coalition shake-up
May 20, 2016
Yesterday saw a major political development in Israeli politics, with PM Netanyahu apparently reaching agreement with former Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman for the latter’s Israel Beitenu party to enter the government, and for Lieberman to become Defence Minister, replacing current Defence Minister Moshe Yaalon. The move was a surprise following previous reports that Netanyahu had been about to reach an agreement with Opposition Leader Isaac Herzog for his Zionist Camp party to enter the coalition – a deal which now seems to be off the table. This Update looks at what happened and what it means.
The demise of Hezbollah’s terror chief / Chemical weapon red-lines
May 19, 2016
Last week saw the death in an explosion of Mustafa Amine Badreddine, Hezbollah’s most senior military commander and terrorist organiser, in unclear circumstances, near Damascus. Badreddine was the successor to Imad Mughniyeh, killed near Damascus in 2008, and is believed to have orchestrated the murder of former Lebanese PM Rafiq Hariri in 2005. This Update deals with the implications of Badreddine’s death – but also includes a comment on the growing normalcy of the use of chemical weapons during Syria’s civil war.
Dilemmas of hopes for a future Palestinian state
May 13, 2016
While a two-state solution remains the only realistic hope for long-term resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, this Update features some recent pieces highlighting some of the barriers to creating a Palestinian state that will both be humane toward its inhabitants and able to exist in peace alongside Israel. It also includes a new article highlighting how the Israeli military is shaping Israel’s approach to conflict management until serious peace negotiations can resume.
Questions in Washington over the selling of the Iran Nuclear Deal
May 12, 2016
This Update offers a small taste of a debate occurring in the US about the means by which the Obama Administration sold their nuclear deal with Iran, following a piece in the New York Times focussed on and featuring some quotes from deputy national security advisor for strategic communications Ben Rhodes, the Administration’s point man for public relations on the deal. These seem to imply that the Administration essentially fabricated elements of their narrative to help their public relations campaign.
Crisis in Baghdad/ ISIS in Libya
May 6, 2016
This Update deals with two major crisis areas in the Middle East, both with profound effects on the fight against ISIS.
One is the major political crisis in Iraq, where the government of Prime Minister Abadi seems paralysed and under threat from radical Shi’ite groups opposed to his reforms designed to reduce corruption and provide a role for the disaffected Sunni minority in government. This led radical militias to storm the Iraqi parliament last week – with major implications for the fight against ISIS in Iraq.
The other is the consolidation and extension of an ISIS emirate in Libya, just 320 kilometres from Europe.