Is an Israel-Iran war inevitable?
November 8, 2019 | AIJAC staff
This Update asks the question, is a major military conflict between Israel and Iran its proxies inevitable in the next few years? Increasing numbers of knowledgable Israeli security analysts are arguing that it is, and this Update explores why.
The Killing of Baghdadi/ Lebanon in Chaos
November 1, 2019 | AIJAC staff
This Update deals with both the killing of Islamic State head Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi by US special forces last weekend and the ongoing mass demonstrations in Lebanon, which led to the resignation of Prime Minister Saad Hariri on Tuesday.
Turkey invades Kurdish Syria, as US backs off
October 11, 2019 | AIJAC staff
This Update deals with the consequences of the Turkish invasion of Kurdish-controlled northern Syria over the last few days, and its effective green-lighting by US President Donald Trump earlier this week.
The quest for a new Israeli governing coalition
September 26, 2019
Yesterday, after Israel’s election committee published its final results from the election last Tuesday, Israeli President Reuven Rivlin gave incumbent Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu the first mandate to try and form a new governing coalition. This follows an intense but unsuccessful effort by Rivlin to broker a national unity government between Netanyahu and his chief rival, Benny Gantz.
US Iran policy after Bolton
September 13, 2019 | AIJAC staff
This Update is devoted to analysis of the US Middle East policy in the wake of the firing of US National Security Advisor John Bolton by President Donald Trump on Wednesday – with a special focus on the future on the US policy of “maximum pressure” on Iran to renegotiate the controversial 2015 JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action) nuclear deal.
Hezbollah’s Situation/ New Iranian stonewalling of IAEA
September 6, 2019 | AIJAC staff
This Update deal with the situation of Hezbollah in its confrontation with Israel in the wake of a complex series of incidents last Sunday when the group launched cross-border anti-tank missile fire to try to take revenge on Israel for alleged Israeli attacks on Hezbollah sites the previous weekend.
Israel’s strategy for confronting the Iranian military buildup to its North
August 30, 2019 | AIJAC staff
Last weekend saw four separate attacks on Iran-linked targets in Lebanon. Syria and Iraq which many sources have attributed to Israel. This Update follows up by looking at the broader implications of recent events in terms of Israel’s general strategy for confronting the build-up of Iranian-affiliated forces, bases and military manufacturing capabilities in Syria, Lebanon and Iraq.
Syria Concerns
August 16, 2019 | AIJAC staff
This Update deals with some recent analysis of Israeli policy toward Syria as the civil war there winds down, and some specific concerns vis-a-vis Syria for Israel, other regional actors, and the international community more broadly.
Iran lays claim to the Persian Gulf
August 9, 2019 | AIJAC staff
This Update is focussed on the Iranian approach to the “tanker war” in the Persian Gulf – and to the seldom understood reality that Iran is not merely seizing and attacking tankers in response to the pressure it is under, but is actually asserting a direct claim to control and ownership of the economically vital Strait of Hormuz and wider Persian Gulf.
Recent developments in Israel’s defensive situation and strategy
August 2, 2019 | AIJAC staff
This Update is focused on analysing the wider picture behind some recent events affecting Israel’s defence strategy – namely, claims Israel launched raids on Iranian targets in Iraq over recent weeks, reports that Hezbollah has now established a presence in Syria on the Golan border with Israel, and the recent successful test of Israel’s new Arrow-3 missile defence system in Alaska
