UPDATES
Reactions to Trump’s Jerusalem announcement
Dec 15, 2017
Update from AIJAC
Update 12/17 #03
Following up on our previous Update analysing US President Donald Trump’s announcement that his government was keeping a campaign promise to recognise Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, this Update looks at the reaction to Trump’s announcement, particularly in the Arab world and amongst Palestinians.
We lead with American strategic analyst Ralph Peters, who notes that the “explosion” of terror and violence in the Middle East predicted in response to Trump simply has not occurred. He says the reason is that, while a similar announcement would have led to much more widespread violence a generation ago, today the Middle East has changed profoundly. Among the reasons he notes is that the Arab states have many other things to concern them besides the Palestinians, plus the reality that Israel has become an indispensable covert ally for many of the Sunni states against Iran. For Peters’ complete explanation of this “dog in the night-time that did not bark,” CLICK HERE.
Next up is Israeli academic Hillel Frisch, who notes that the strongest reaction to Trump’s announcement came from non-Arab countries like Turkey and Iran, and discusses why this is. He notes that the reactions from Sunni Arab states were “tepid and formal” while even the Palestinians showed themselves reluctant to send their children to fight over this issue, despite calls from Hamas and the PA. He argues that the latter are actually saving their real forces for a battle against each other – and both the Palestinian street and the wider Arab world largely understood the limited importance of Trump’s announcement and that Muslim Jerusalem is not in fact under threat. For the rest of his argument, CLICK HERE. Plus, Seth Frantzman of the Jerusalem Post reports on some of the same divisions cited by Frisch at the recent Organisation of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) summit on Jerusalem in Turkey – not attended by the leaders of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Bahrain, and the UAE.
Finally, Shlomo Avineri, veteran Israeli senior diplomatic official and leading academic, examines the official Palestinian Authority reaction to Trump’s announcement – and argues it continues a pattern of failure on the part of the Palestinian leadership. He notes that the Palestinians refused to acknowledge or take advantage of the elements of Trump’s announcement which could help them, including his explicit call, for the first time, for a two-state solution, and the efforts to make it clear that the recognition was not meant to determine borders, opening the way to possible American acceptance of the division of Jerusalem. Avineri says even a rookie diplomat would have tried to exploit these possible openings for the Palestinian cause, but argues the Palestinian answer can be seen as part of a larger pattern of “inability to live with compromise” which has long made peace progress all but impossible. For some important insights from one of Israel’s most renowned foreign policy thinkers, CLICK HERE.
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Tags: Israel